Ain't it Wonderful…

It's a wonderful life… a wonderful life of cheese. I wonder if my full life will be a full life full of cheese?

8/1/10

The Theory of Continued Eventuality

I created a theory (because I theorize when I'm bored, also I play video games, but mostly theorize) I call the "Theory of Continued Eventuality".

It's long, complex, and slightly boring, so I'll summarize it:

"If an event hasn't happened yet, it probably won't happen anytime soon."

Better explanation after the break [Chug that coffee!]





For example, we haven't had a deaf albino midget Korean 1 eyed President (yet) so it probably won't happen in a long time. It's possible for it to happen, but those damn mono-optic-minuscule-east-Asian-light-skinned-hard-of-hearing vote is hard to get!

If there's a variable with a proposed certainty (like scores of a future sports games, most stats and numbers, etc), barring catastrophic annihilation (which won't happen anyways by this theory), those can be thrown out or not counted.


It mostly applies to end-world scenarios & apocalyptic scenarios. The earth is 10,000 to 50 trillion years old [Depending on religious and scientific beliefs]. There hasn't been [or hasn't been in thousand of years depending on your religious and scientific beliefs] an end of the world scenario, so by definition of the Continued Eventuality theory, there won't be in your or mine discernible lifetime, yours or mine potentially non-existent several generations of offspring's  discernible lifetime, and probably {or improbably) a long time after. It could happen some day, possibly at the hand of man(d) [... I wanted it to rhyme] or at the denature of nature, or perhaps the features of the creatures.. okay.. I'll stop.


Duke Nukem Forever hasn't been released (*tears roll down cheek slowly*) So it probably won't be released.

Now, this theory doesn't mean "It hasn't happened so it won't" It in essence means, "It hasn't happened [recently] so it won't [in your lifetime]"

The odds of an event's occurrence in relation to it's similarity to an event that has happened recently increases the event's chances of happening, therefore, the theory is thrown out

For example, if there's a skateboarder who does a 720 in a competition, it's logical to assume that there will eventually be a skateboarder who does a 900 in a competition. Physically unrealistic options (like anything above 1440) can instantly be thrown out of any assumed future event. Since nobody has done a 1080 on a skateboard, it's logical to assume nobody will do a 1440. Probability & prediction of events are always in steps.



I'm to tired to explain it in any more detail but I think you should understand it by now.

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